LedgerPrime

Share this post

Market Commentary - BOW 37

www.research.ledgerprime.com

Discover more from LedgerPrime

Investing and Trading Digital Assets
Continue reading
Sign in

Market Commentary - BOW 37

0xdirmes
Sep 14, 2022
Share this post

Market Commentary - BOW 37

www.research.ledgerprime.com
Share

General Market Update

The market didn't like what it saw in Tuesday's CPI report. U.S. stocks fell and Treasury yields rose after the data came in higher than expected. 

The pace of U.S. consumer price inflation remained close to a four-decade high, up 8.3% in August from the same month a year ago, the Labor Department said Tuesday.

Still, that headline number cooled compared with previous months. The increase was 8.5% in July and 9.1% in June, which was the highest inflation rate in four decades. The CPI measures what consumers pay for goods and services.

Wall Street Journal,  Sep 13, 2022, at 11:00 am ET


Crypto Market Update

  • Global Crypto Market Cap 📈 2.92% ($1.11 Tr)

  • Altcoin share of Market 📉 5.83% (61.53 %)

  • Crypto Fear and Greed Index: 34 (Fear)

Crypto News & Articles

  • Chamber of Digital Commerce urges SEC to approve Bitcoin ETF for US investors. The Chamber of Digital Commerce said that the SEC's failure to approve a spot bitcoin ETF is forcing U.S. investors to turn to more regulated regions. – Link

  • Fireblocks records over $100M in annual recurring revenue, solidifies unicorn status –  Link

  • Centralization, sell-offs, and network stability: What’s troubling Ethereum ahead of the Merge? – Link


 BTC (+8.62%) 

Price:

Current price at $21.07K, selling resistance is found at $22.75K mark while major support appears at $20.75K. Over the week, price ranged from a high of $22.423 to a low of $18,650.

Metrics:

  • BTC spot volume is currently at $8.907B.

  • Current Market Cap of BTC is at $370B, which represents a 38.227% of Total Crypto Market Cap.

  • BTC volatility: The current, annualized volatility is at 0.66, 25.52% higher than last week.

From last week:

  •  📈 Correlations: 

    • 7-Day Correlation:  ETH (0.83)

    • 30-Day Correlation: ETH (0.87)

  •  📈 Betas:

    • 7-Day Beta:  ETH (0.86)

    • 30-Day Beta: ETH (0.62)

News: 

  • Stone Ridge board approved plan for 'liquidation and dissolution' of its Bitcoin fund – Link

Options:

  • BTC continues to be dominated by the buy side after the weekend. Investors are interested in near OTM maturities such as the BTC-30SEP22-24000-C (3.5K) or the BTC-28OCT22-28000-C (1.6K).

  • Strategies:

    • Investors have shifted their momentum and seem now interested in more optimistic strategies. This week the Bull Diagonal Spread (Calls) (3.5K) was the most traded structure, followed by the Bull Put Spread.

  • IV profile: 

    • 1 Wk ATM 77.6% (avg: 64.5%)

    • 1 Mth ATM 72.4% (avg: 68.0%)

  • 25d Skew:

    • 1 Wk -5% (avg: 10%)

    • 1 Mth 5% (avg: 12%)


 ETH (-2.94%) 

Price:

Current price at $1.6K, current selling resistance is found at $1.75K while bullish support takes place at the $1.6K mark. Over the week the price ranged between a weekly high of $1,780 and a low of $1,502.

Metrics:

  • ETH spot volume is currently at $1.72B

  • Current Market Cap of ETH is at $216B, which represents 20.015% of Total Crypto Market Cap

  • ETH volatility: The current, annualized volatility is at 0.78, 6.04% lower than last week.

From last week:

  •  📈 Correlations: 

    • 7-Day Correlation:  BTC (0.83)

    • 30-Day Correlation: BTC (0.87)

  •  📈 Betas:

    • 7-Day Beta:  BTC (0.57)

    • 30-Day Beta: BTC (1.09)

  • News: 

    • Norwegian central bank uses Ethereum to build national digital currency – Link

  • Options:

    • With the Merge event on every trader’s mind, this week’s option profile was dominated by year-end, close-to-money call trading, with options such as the ETH-30DEC22-2500-C (18.5K) and the ETH-30DEC22-2000-C (16K).

  • Strategies:

    • The Bull Put Spread and the Bear Call Spread were the most traded structures ahead of the Merge, at a volume of 18K each. This denotes the overall decrease in volume that we have seen since June.

  • IV profile: 

    • 1 Wk ATM 114% (avg: 95%)

    • 1 Mth ATM 105% (avg: 105%)

  • 25d Skew:

    • 1 Wk 3% (avg: 7%)

    • 1 Mth 8% (avg: 8%)


 AVAX (+1.01%) 

Price:

Current price at $19.71, selling resistance takes place above the $22 range while the closest price support seems to be at $19.50. Over the week the price ranged between a weekly high of $21.80 and a low of $18.03.

Metrics:

  • AVAX spot volume is currently at $12.61M

  • Current Market Cap of AVAX is at $5.61B, which represents a 0.558% of Total Crypto Market Cap

  • AVAX volatility: The current, annualized volatility is at 0.77, 0.99% lower than last week.

From last week:

  •  📈 Correlations: 

    • 7-Day Correlation:  BTC (0.72), ETH (0.76)

    • 30-Day Correlation: BTC (0.80), ETH (0.81)

  •  📈 Betas:

    • 7-Day Beta:  BTC (0.87), ETH (0.77)

    • 30-Day Beta: BTC (0.99), ETH (0.73)

  • News: 

    • Apricot Phase 6: Native Asset Call Deprecation – Link


 SOL (+2.52%) 

Price:

Current price at $34.83, selling resistance seems to occur at $39.00 while price support seems to be found at $35.00. Over the week the price ranged between a weekly high of $38.02 and a low of $30.61.

Metrics:

  • SOL spot volume is currently at $215.70M

  • Current Market Cap of SOL is at $12.36B, which represents 1.142% of Total Crypto Market Cap

  • SOL volatility: The current, annualized volatility is at 0.74, 2.23% higher than last week.

From last week:

  •  📈 Correlations: 

    • 7-Day Correlation:  BTC (0.72), ETH (0.73)

    • 30-Day Correlation: BTC (0.83), ETH (0.83)

  •  📈 Betas:

    • 7-Day Beta:  BTC (0.50), ETH (0.37)

    • 30-Day Beta: BTC (0.98), ETH (0.74)

  • News: 

    • DApp activity rises 3.7% in August for the first time since May: Finance Redefined– Link


 NEAR (-1.23%) 

Price:

Current price at $4.56, selling resistance is found at $5.10 while price support seems to drive buying action at $4.50. Over the week the price ranged between a weekly high of $5.22 and a low of $4.04.

Metrics:

  • NEAR spot volume is currently at $95.25M

  • The current Market Cap of NEAR is at $3.41B, which represents 0.347% of the Total Crypto Market Cap

  • NEAR volatility: The current annualized volatility is at 0.90, 9.61% lower than last week.From last week:

From last week:

  •  📈 Correlations: 

    • 7-Day Correlation:  BTC (0.58), ETH (0.59)

    • 30-Day Correlation: BTC (0.71), ETH (0.73)

  •  📈 Betas:

    • 7-Day Beta:  BTC (0.40), ETH (0.43)

    • 30-Day Beta: BTC (0.98), ETH (0.81)

  • News: 

    • NEARCON Highlights – Link


 ADA (-3.13%) 

Price:

Current price at $0.4717, with selling resistance at $0.51 while price support seems to be at the $0.47 level. Over the week the price ranged between a weekly high of $0.522 and a low of $0.456. 

Metrics:

  • ADA spot volume is currently at $112.44M

  • Current Market Cap of ADA is at $17.21B, which represents a 1.648% of Total Crypto Market Cap

  • ADA volatility: The current, annualized volatility is at 0.78, 6.23% higher than last week.

From last week:

  •  📈 Correlations: 

    • 7-Day Correlation:  BTC (0.68), ETH (0.76)

    • 30-Day Correlation: BTC (0.71), ETH (0.71)

  •  📈 Betas:

    • 7-Day Beta:  BTC (0.81), ETH (1.02)

    • 30-Day Beta: BTC (1.00), ETH (0.76)

  • News: 

    • Cardano (ADA) eyes 15% rally despite Charles Hoskinson's fear over 'macro factors' – Link


 MPL (-4.92%) 

Price:

Current price at $21.51, upwards selling resistance seems to be found at $23.00, while bullish action takes place at $21.50. Over the week the price ranged between a weekly high of $23.73 and a low of $18.58.

Metrics:

  • MPL spot volume is currently at $4.984K

  • Current Market Cap of MPL is at $144M, which represents a 0.013% of Total Crypto Market Cap

  • MPL volatility: The current, annualized volatility is at 0.85, 19.65% lower than last week.

From last week:

  •  📈 Correlations: 

    • 7-Day Correlation:  BTC (0.14), ETH (0.17)

    • 30-Day Correlation: BTC (0.21), ETH (0.21)

  •  📈 Betas:

    • 7-Day Beta:  BTC (0.51), ETH (0.99)

    • 30-Day Beta: BTC (0.64), ETH (0.57)



Upcoming events 

For OTC inquiries, contact laura@ledgerprime.com 

Telegram @lauravidiella or @medianbrain 

For live Altcoin and Options data, join our Ledger Prime Analytics group chat here

The information provided here is not investment, tax, or financial advice and does not reflect LedgerPrime’s official stance on any position. You should consult with a licensed professional for advice concerning your specific situation.

Share this post

Market Commentary - BOW 37

www.research.ledgerprime.com
Share
Comments
Top
New
Community

No posts

Ready for more?

© 2023 LedgerPrime
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing